3 ms·

What's up with all of these crazy technical developments after a period of relative stagnation? Aside from it being merely random or selection bias, it's plaus

What's up with all of these crazy technical developments after a period of relative stagnation? Aside from it being merely random or selection bias, it's plausible that there's some kind of AI assist beyond what we know happening behind the scenes.

twic 4y ago
People have been working on rotating detonation engines, and making steady progress, for years. The idea dates to the '60s, but i think work really picked up about a decade ago.
redeeman 4y ago
i dont think thats plausible? we do not have AI
- boringuser2 4y ago
  [flagged]
PartiallyTyped 4y ago
I said a few days ago that it is very likely 3 letter agencies and other organisations have had GPT4 equivalent models for some time now. It doesn’t seem that unlikely that some branches of the US gov would have much more advanced models.
- boringuser2 4y ago
  You're right, it kind of makes me think AGI won't come about from LLMs.
- feanaro 4y ago
  Why do people always say this? It's almost like a thought-terminating cliche. Thousands of companies competing with each other were not able to do it earlier, but the NSA always has better everything, by definition.
  - PartiallyTyped 4y ago
    It’s because they have always been ahead in stuff like crypto and have an endless pocket.
valine 4y ago
Maybe ChatGPT is helping cut through bureaucratic tape. I know it’s helped me become much more persuasive in my communication. If your goal is to convince the US government to spend money testing your rotational detonation engine, your odds of success go up if an LLM helps you write the email.
- getoffmycase 4y ago
  This has to be an April Fool's day joke right?
  - 7thaccount 4y ago
    I hope haha.
  - slowmovintarget 4y ago
    Date on the article is 25 Jan 2023, so seemingly not.
sxyuan 4y ago
These baseless speculations about ChatGPT are somewhat ironic given that the article itself alludes to what has unlocked this specific advance: "The RDRE achieved its primary test objective by demonstrating that its hardware – made from novel additive manufacturing, or 3D printing, designs and processes – could operate for long durations while withstanding the extreme heat and pressure environments generated by detonations." It's much easier to imagine that steady advances in manufacturing, computational modeling, and "mundane" technologies like that are contributing to progress like what's described in this article... Rather than some super secret AI assistant. Please, folks, don't give up on reading just because computers can do it too now. :)
throwbadubadu 4y ago
OH MY.... Came here to say "Wow, this is so much more exciting than the 123th LLM/GPT and the 2746th "this is my experience / use case with AI" (sorry) "but sure, some one will come and claim that: GPT-8 would have designed that alone given the right prompt!!" ... and then need to read this. :(
- fortyseven 4y ago
  Keep it in your pants, Sulu.

twic 4y ago

People have been working on rotating detonation engines, and making steady progress, for years. The idea dates to the '60s, but i think work really picked up about a decade ago.

redeeman 4y ago

i dont think thats plausible? we do not have AI

boringuser2 4y ago
[flagged]

PartiallyTyped 4y ago

I said a few days ago that it is very likely 3 letter agencies and other organisations have had GPT4 equivalent models for some time now. It doesn’t seem that unlikely that some branches of the US gov would have much more advanced models.

boringuser2 4y ago
You're right, it kind of makes me think AGI won't come about from LLMs.
feanaro 4y ago
Why do people always say this? It's almost like a thought-terminating cliche. Thousands of companies competing with each other were not able to do it earlier, but the NSA always has better everything, by definition.
- PartiallyTyped 4y ago
  It’s because they have always been ahead in stuff like crypto and have an endless pocket.

valine 4y ago

Maybe ChatGPT is helping cut through bureaucratic tape. I know it’s helped me become much more persuasive in my communication. If your goal is to convince the US government to spend money testing your rotational detonation engine, your odds of success go up if an LLM helps you write the email.

getoffmycase 4y ago
This has to be an April Fool's day joke right?
- 7thaccount 4y ago
  I hope haha.
- slowmovintarget 4y ago
  Date on the article is 25 Jan 2023, so seemingly not.

sxyuan 4y ago

These baseless speculations about ChatGPT are somewhat ironic given that the article itself alludes to what has unlocked this specific advance: "The RDRE achieved its primary test objective by demonstrating that its hardware – made from novel additive manufacturing, or 3D printing, designs and processes – could operate for long durations while withstanding the extreme heat and pressure environments generated by detonations." It's much easier to imagine that steady advances in manufacturing, computational modeling, and "mundane" technologies like that are contributing to progress like what's described in this article... Rather than some super secret AI assistant. Please, folks, don't give up on reading just because computers can do it too now. :)

throwbadubadu 4y ago

OH MY.... Came here to say "Wow, this is so much more exciting than the 123th LLM/GPT and the 2746th "this is my experience / use case with AI" (sorry) "but sure, some one will come and claim that: GPT-8 would have designed that alone given the right prompt!!" ... and then need to read this. :(

fortyseven 4y ago
Keep it in your pants, Sulu.