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It's easy to stop a dam. It's in a physical location controlled by one country.
by akvadrako 4y ago
It's easy to stop a dam. It's in a physical location controlled by one country.
- blibble 4y agothere are maybe 2 or 3 factories capable of producing these chips and the sanctions mechanism already exists
- skissane 4y agoSooner or later other countries will catch up. China is behind in semiconductor manufacturing, but they’ll continue to advance-limiting their access to cutting-technologies like ASML’s photolithography machines will slow them down, but given enough time there is no reason they can’t overcome that too. If the point of sanctions is to hold them back and keep them behind, that could continue to work for a long time. But if you decide to stop progress in semiconductor manufacturing, in order to avert an AI apocalypse - China no longer has to catch up to a moving target, they have to catch up with a stationary one. And as soon as they’ve caught up, now they can overtake. So sanctions don’t work as a way to stop an “AI apocalypse”, unless you convince all the world’s great powers to cooperate in them. And the potential payoff for anyone who chooses to defect is immense-maybe even world conquest-so how do you make sure they all keep the deal, and none wiull try to cheat? If anything, I think a world with multiple superintelligent AIs with competing allegiances - a pro-Beijing superintelligence, a pro-Washington superintelligence, etc - is likely safer for humanity than a world with only a single superintelligence, or even many superintelligences that all had the same beliefs/attitudes/goals/objectives
- mitthrowaway2 4y agoSo what if China catches up? They're probably even more afraid of AI than we are, just because of its potential for societal disruption. Have you noticed that zero of the AI breakthroughs are coming out of China?