4 ms·
I think that the moment you scale up the hardware for intelligence (from the 20cm brain) to a datacenter scale (to several hundred meters) you start getting int
by rolisz 4y ago
I think that the moment you scale up the hardware for intelligence (from the 20cm brain) to a datacenter scale (to several hundred meters) you start getting into some other kinds of issues, such as it's hard to get a consistent view across the whole "brain". Synchronizing things will take longer, limited by the speed of light: suddenly things on the far ends can communicate with a latency with a lower bound of 100ns. For GPT4 it doesn't matter yet, because all the matrix multiplications take much longer, but maybe once we get to much larger models, that can interact with their environment via something else than a static text box, this will become a limitation.
GPT4 is not an exponential improvement over GPT3. It's is better, but not exponentially so (as in f(x) = e^x).
> If you think GPTs can get to human-level intelligence, why would the improvement stop at that arbitrary point?
Because GPTs are trained on human generated data. They might have some ability to generalize, but to a limited extent. GPT4 is not a super human chess player. It's can play chess, but far from Magnus Carlssen. But we do have super human chess engines, but those are made in a completely different way from GPT.
- kilotaras 4y ago> But we do have super human chess engines, but those are made in a completely different way from GPT. Suppose GPT-X just dropped and it could both generate text AND play chess better than Magnus Carlssen. How would that change you position on it being unable to pass the human-level intelligence barrier?
- rolisz 4y agoThat would make me rethink my position.