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>We have at the upper end 10-50 years before most of humanity will likely be dead I've been hearing that the death of the planet has been 10 - 30 years away fo

>We have at the upper end 10-50 years before most of humanity will likely be dead I've been hearing that the death of the planet has been 10 - 30 years away for the past 30 years. We're still here.

than3 4y ago
> I've been hearing that the death of the planet has been 10-30 years away . We're still here. That argument is solely based on survivor bias. Also, critical systems are now in such a state of brittle disrepair that it wouldn't take much for everything to break down unexpectedly. Currency (store of value), Fuel/Energy, Logistics (trains/ cheap shipping), and Food (farms), take your pick. Any single one of those areas can lead to a cascading failure. Most people also don't realize as the world heats up you have to suddenly start dealing with problems only commonly found in the tropics but now at the northern latitudes. If you've read the Wealth and Poverty of Nations, you'd know why the northern latitude countries were able to develop rapidly whereas the tropical latitudes were averse to human life and husbandry. There are parts of Africa where microscopic parasites live in the water, and animal husbandry in those areas is impossible. The higher environmental temperatures allow these organisms to thrive. If you eat the meat of contaminated animals, you get sick and die. There are many reasons why you are asked if you have traveled outside the country recently when you visit the doctor.
- adammarples 4y ago
  And 1 billion people live in Africa, the only continent which is now actually growing
  - than3 4y ago
    Africa is a big continent and that is a big generalization. I don't see what point you are trying to make by discounting dangers that are studied and very real. If your life depended on knowing about these things, won't you be surprised when reality hits home. Its common sense for a rational person to not discount downsides that are easily verifiable. For your further reading and there's a lot more than just these: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7558156/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7558156/ https://www.who.int/news-room/fact-sheets/detail/onchocerciasis https://www.who.int/news-room/fact-sheets/detail/onchocercia... https://www.who.int/news-room/fact-sheets/detail/trypanosomiasis-human-african-(sleeping-sickness) https://www.who.int/news-room/fact-sheets/detail/trypanosomi... https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/yellowbook/2020/travel-related-infectious-diseases/schistosomiasis https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/yellowbook/2020/travel-related-...

>We have at the upper end 10-50 years before most of humanity will likely be dead I've been hearing that the death of the planet has been 10 - 30 years away for the past 30 years. We're still here.

than3 4y ago

> I've been hearing that the death of the planet has been 10-30 years away . We're still here. That argument is solely based on survivor bias. Also, critical systems are now in such a state of brittle disrepair that it wouldn't take much for everything to break down unexpectedly. Currency (store of value), Fuel/Energy, Logistics (trains/ cheap shipping), and Food (farms), take your pick. Any single one of those areas can lead to a cascading failure. Most people also don't realize as the world heats up you have to suddenly start dealing with problems only commonly found in the tropics but now at the northern latitudes. If you've read the Wealth and Poverty of Nations, you'd know why the northern latitude countries were able to develop rapidly whereas the tropical latitudes were averse to human life and husbandry. There are parts of Africa where microscopic parasites live in the water, and animal husbandry in those areas is impossible. The higher environmental temperatures allow these organisms to thrive. If you eat the meat of contaminated animals, you get sick and die. There are many reasons why you are asked if you have traveled outside the country recently when you visit the doctor.

adammarples 4y ago
And 1 billion people live in Africa, the only continent which is now actually growing
- than3 4y ago
  Africa is a big continent and that is a big generalization. I don't see what point you are trying to make by discounting dangers that are studied and very real. If your life depended on knowing about these things, won't you be surprised when reality hits home. Its common sense for a rational person to not discount downsides that are easily verifiable. For your further reading and there's a lot more than just these: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7558156/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7558156/ https://www.who.int/news-room/fact-sheets/detail/onchocerciasis https://www.who.int/news-room/fact-sheets/detail/onchocercia... https://www.who.int/news-room/fact-sheets/detail/trypanosomiasis-human-african-(sleeping-sickness) https://www.who.int/news-room/fact-sheets/detail/trypanosomi... https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/yellowbook/2020/travel-related-infectious-diseases/schistosomiasis https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/yellowbook/2020/travel-related-...