3 ms·
For me, this is complex. My first impression is that many of the signers work on older methods than deep learning and LLMs. Sour grapes. Of course, real AGI ha
by mark_l_watson 4y ago
For me, this is complex. My first impression is that many of the signers work on older methods than deep learning and LLMs. Sour grapes.
Of course, real AGI has its dangers, but as Andrew Ng has said, worrying about AGI taking over the world is like worrying about overcrowding of Mars colonies. Both tech fields are far in the future.
The kicker for me though is: we live in an adversarial world, so does it make sense for just a few countries to stop advanced research when most other countries continue at top speed?
- pkoird 4y agoFar in the future? Just 6 months ago, people believed that ChatGPT like model would take 10-15 years more. I believe that Andrew himself doesn't really understand how LLMs work. In particular, what is about the increase in their parameters that induces emergence and what exactly is the nature of such Emergence. So yeah, AGI might be far into the future but it might just be tomorrow as well.
- mark_l_watson 4y agoYou are correct about the exponential rate of progress. I also admit to being an overly optimistic person, so of course my opinion could be wrong.