They provide no real data, so let's take a look ourselves at even one piece of real data. Go look at copilot's total number of downloads on the plugin marketpl

They provide no real data, so let's take a look ourselves at even one piece of real data. Go look at copilot's total number of downloads on the plugin marketplace - not dau, not mau, just people ever clicking the install button, hopefully filtered a little so that install on 5 machines by same person does not count as 5 (if not, the number looks even worse). Despite massive hype, full court press, etc, the number is small. The MAU is even smaller. Then try to convince yourself it will really make a billion at 10-19 a seat by attracting 1000x-10000x the users it currently has, and retaining them monthly, anytime soon. This isn't the only piece of data that suggests wild optimism at work. The entire DevOps market, copilot included, is estimated at 10-12 billion now, and won't double until 2030. That includes the effects of AI. The estimates are actually down from a few years ago (it was estimated to reach 25B by 2025 before). The sort of nonsense handwaving with no backing in data that goes into these articles is impressive. Even rough back of the envelope says it's currently a pipe dream. Maybe some future copilot will attract more, but based on current data and trajectory, when I hear this kind of article claim it will make billions with not a single real current piece of data supporting the claim it just comes off as delusional. Or you know, they could try to provide any real data that supports their claims. Really though, I think they just hope it's all wrong because they are too vested in the narrative. I have tons of faith that ai will change development as we know it, and in fact making it happen is a significant part of my job. I just don't at all buy all the wild pronouncements of how soon everyone will make tons and tons of money doing it, nor how much they will make.