3 ms·

Ask HN: Will GPT4 result in a shortage of doctors and lawyers?

4 points by amichail 4y ago

Those careers perhaps will not be as prestigious as they used to be given how well GPT4 does on their exams.

deleted 4y ago
[deleted]
PaulHoule 4y ago
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0020737378800492 https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S002073737... was great at diagnosing and treating bacterial infections in the 1970s. How it wasn’t a revolution is an interesting case study. Lawyering is already a much less lucrative career than it was 20 years ago.
gtvwill 4y ago
We can only hope. The scarcity and bias in availability of these two services brings nothing but pain and inequality upon society. The sooner they are replaced by machines the better.
anonym29 4y ago
There is already a shortage of doctors in the US, largely due to state licensing boards (filled with doctors) who artifically restrict the number of residencies they grant per year in order to keep doctor compensation up.
muzani 4y ago
Tech stuff has been increasingly automated and salaries kept going up right until last year. Of course, there's a bias because it's the tech people doing the automations. But someone needs to mentor the AGI.
notahacker 4y ago
No. Surprisingly, there's more to being a lawyer and a doctor than simply passing exams, and wannabe doctors and lawyers are unlikely to particularly care that a computer can pass its exams. Particularly not if the answer for why it's so effective is that model answers are in its training data.
mattbrewsbytes 4y ago
I can see where computers help folks in those careers minimize the minutia of finding statistics or refreshing their memory about something like certain cases, obscure disease symptoms, etc. I bet passing exams is as good of a definition for those careers as passing a leetcode test for a programmer. To put it another way, its ridiculous to think a computer passing an exam means it can replace a human's job. GPT doesn't have fingers to test for enlarged prostates.

4 points by amichail 4y ago

Those careers perhaps will not be as prestigious as they used to be given how well GPT4 does on their exams.

deleted 4y ago

[deleted]

PaulHoule 4y ago

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0020737378800492 https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S002073737... was great at diagnosing and treating bacterial infections in the 1970s. How it wasn’t a revolution is an interesting case study. Lawyering is already a much less lucrative career than it was 20 years ago.

gtvwill 4y ago

We can only hope. The scarcity and bias in availability of these two services brings nothing but pain and inequality upon society. The sooner they are replaced by machines the better.

anonym29 4y ago

There is already a shortage of doctors in the US, largely due to state licensing boards (filled with doctors) who artifically restrict the number of residencies they grant per year in order to keep doctor compensation up.

muzani 4y ago

Tech stuff has been increasingly automated and salaries kept going up right until last year. Of course, there's a bias because it's the tech people doing the automations. But someone needs to mentor the AGI.

notahacker 4y ago

No. Surprisingly, there's more to being a lawyer and a doctor than simply passing exams, and wannabe doctors and lawyers are unlikely to particularly care that a computer can pass its exams. Particularly not if the answer for why it's so effective is that model answers are in its training data.

mattbrewsbytes 4y ago

I can see where computers help folks in those careers minimize the minutia of finding statistics or refreshing their memory about something like certain cases, obscure disease symptoms, etc. I bet passing exams is as good of a definition for those careers as passing a leetcode test for a programmer. To put it another way, its ridiculous to think a computer passing an exam means it can replace a human's job. GPT doesn't have fingers to test for enlarged prostates.