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I am highly skeptical any AI could have such a great advantage over human society that it could leapfrog us. Think about some important ideas. Data > processi
by bioemerl 4y ago
I am highly skeptical any AI could have such a great advantage over human society that it could leapfrog us. Think about some important ideas.
Data > processing power. 90 percent of what we do occurs as a result of semi random discovery and explanation. Computers are great tools to aid in that process, but for the most part we find ourselves limited by what we know, not how much we can think. 99 percent of data is useless and correctly thrown away by our minds.
The utility of processing power in a vacuum rapidly degrades with time. If I'm a computer and I use the data I have to discover all of the rules of the universe while in a box, I'm going to emerge with many hilarious and out of touch philosophies at the end of it. You need a constant test and revise cycle, because pure logic just doesn't model the universe in an accurate way.
Moores law isn't infinite. Power efficiency and how common resources are will matter more than continued process shrinking. Humans are made from common materials, are largely self sustaining and correcting, and consume very little energy for the amount and quality of the thinking we do. Computers aren't going to scale forever, and I'll hazard to guess that once they get to a certain point they'll start being more analog-biological than transistor based.
There are just so many unspoken benefits to being life. These AI machines that will bowl over humanity have to actually be proven to be slightly realistic beyond a thought experiment before I take them seriously.