3 ms·

I've used GPT-4, and while extremely impressive, it doesn't feel like we're all that much closer to super-intelligent AI than we were last month or last year. I

I've used GPT-4, and while extremely impressive, it doesn't feel like we're all that much closer to super-intelligent AI than we were last month or last year. It feels like Google on steroids, but the gap between GPT-4 and AGI still feels massive. This seems like so much putting the cart way ahead of the horse.

1attice 4y ago
That's precisely where the cart needs to be to survive this horse
m463 4y ago
The pen is mightier than the sword. And now we've got semiautomatic submachinepens.
- somewhat_drunk 4y ago
  I love this.
- goldenkey 4y ago
  The pen IS the sword when all the capitalistic checks are signed by it.
arisAlexis 4y ago
Academics were denying that nuclear bombs are possible while the rest of them where inside the Manhattan project.
Agingcoder 4y ago
I think the problem is the gradient, not the current state of chatgpt. Given how much better gpt4 is over gpt3 (I've used both) , some people are getting worried.
kvetching 4y ago
I believe AGI using LLMs will need a cognitive framework to glue these models into. I don't think we're anywhere near having one model that reaches AGI with it's own agency and online learning.
nemo44x 4y ago
FWIW, most people at OpenAI do believe GPT5 will achieve AGI. Of course, it's hard to define precisely what that is and where the line is from an AI system to an AGI one. GPT5 will complete training in December of this year.
drtgh 4y ago
GPT-4 and homologous are just advanced text concatenation programs based on statistics; the AI acronym in such models is just marketing. And such marketing is highly worrying as there are people thinking about letting these kinds of statistical algorithms to make decisions that should be done by real people. But the above doesn't rule out the possibility of people trying to develop real AI (they may even be stupid enough to use an internet connection to build the system), and this should be a worrying to add to the above one. The above doesnt exclude neither the possibility that many of the relevant people who signed the "Pause Giant AI Experiments for at least 6 months" petition are simply trying to gain time to reach the competence; their hypocritical shamelessness about this matter is visible.
calf 4y ago
The concern is that there could be an exponential advancement in AI over the next few decades. So GPT looks stupid right now, stochastic parrot and all, but after 15, 30 years? I'm on board with some kind of precautionary principle applied on an international scale.

1attice 4y ago

That's precisely where the cart needs to be to survive this horse

m463 4y ago

The pen is mightier than the sword. And now we've got semiautomatic submachinepens.

somewhat_drunk 4y ago
I love this.
goldenkey 4y ago
The pen IS the sword when all the capitalistic checks are signed by it.

arisAlexis 4y ago

Academics were denying that nuclear bombs are possible while the rest of them where inside the Manhattan project.

Agingcoder 4y ago

I think the problem is the gradient, not the current state of chatgpt. Given how much better gpt4 is over gpt3 (I've used both) , some people are getting worried.

kvetching 4y ago

I believe AGI using LLMs will need a cognitive framework to glue these models into. I don't think we're anywhere near having one model that reaches AGI with it's own agency and online learning.

nemo44x 4y ago

FWIW, most people at OpenAI do believe GPT5 will achieve AGI. Of course, it's hard to define precisely what that is and where the line is from an AI system to an AGI one. GPT5 will complete training in December of this year.

drtgh 4y ago

GPT-4 and homologous are just advanced text concatenation programs based on statistics; the AI acronym in such models is just marketing. And such marketing is highly worrying as there are people thinking about letting these kinds of statistical algorithms to make decisions that should be done by real people. But the above doesn't rule out the possibility of people trying to develop real AI (they may even be stupid enough to use an internet connection to build the system), and this should be a worrying to add to the above one. The above doesnt exclude neither the possibility that many of the relevant people who signed the "Pause Giant AI Experiments for at least 6 months" petition are simply trying to gain time to reach the competence; their hypocritical shamelessness about this matter is visible.

calf 4y ago

The concern is that there could be an exponential advancement in AI over the next few decades. So GPT looks stupid right now, stochastic parrot and all, but after 15, 30 years? I'm on board with some kind of precautionary principle applied on an international scale.