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I agree to the point that it is totally unrealistic that it shuts down. There are no difficult barriers for entry into this space. No possible way of containmen
by 13years 4y ago
I agree to the point that it is totally unrealistic that it shuts down. There are no difficult barriers for entry into this space. No possible way of containment other than imposing hardware restrictions.
However, it is indeed a shift, and a massive power shift. With any substantial increase of power comes abuse of that power. The more power we have there is a tendency for humanity to manage it unwisely.
I've covered many of those possibilities in more detail here - https://dakara.substack.com/p/ai-and-the-end-to-all-things https://dakara.substack.com/p/ai-and-the-end-to-all-things
- alwayslikethis 4y agoHardware restrictions are unrealistic given all the GPUs that already exist. It's not like centrifuges which are big and few in number. RTX 4090s are everywhere.
- 13years 4y agoDepends on what is required for AGI/ASI. Some say we still need much more power, others think we are almost there. So, yes, unrealistic if we are almost there already.
- alwayslikethis 4y agoGiven that GPT-4 is purported to be not bigger than GPT-3, but simply a better trained one or with some minor modifications, I'm inclined to believe that we are almost there and existing hardware does most of what is needed, even though better hardware would make things cheaper.