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The cat is out of the bag. Some people might volunteer to slow down. But others inevitably won't. And that creates this sense of FOMO with everyone. I think the
by jillesvangurp 4y ago
The cat is out of the bag. Some people might volunteer to slow down. But others inevitably won't. And that creates this sense of FOMO with everyone. I think the reason OpenAI is choosing to operate in the open has been exactly this. This way they get to control the narrative, act as a first mover in the market, and ensure it is done right (by their notion of this). Of course others are working on the same topics and research in this area is progressing rapidly.
In a way the worst possible outcome is that some less benevolent parties than OpenAI start taking the lead here. These parties are already active. They are just less vocal and open about the whole thing. People can stick their heads in the sand of course but that won't stop e.g. the Chinese from moving full steam ahead on their agenda.
I'd prefer for them to not be the first or only ones to achieve AGIs. And the race for that is very much right now.
- dylan604 4y agoIf I don't do it, someone else will, so it might as well be me. At least I know the morals I have /s
- thatguy0900 4y agoThis but without the s. What does the world look like if only China and Russia have agi because the western world took a pause to consider the ethics. This tech is the same as nukes in that sense.
- prohobo 4y agoMaybe a world where China and Russia might need our ethical controls to tame the AI they let loose on themselves? At this point I feel like we deserve to lose, our people are insane and can only operate at a shallow level of game theory that ensures everyone behaves like teenagers. That said, I'm not sold on needing to pause. We're likely hitting the limit of LLMs for the next while - only incremental improvements from here. What's wrong with creating a task force and committee for working on AI ethics in parallel?
- jillesvangurp 4y agoIt's an uncomfortable topic in the AI world. The combination of AGIs and military dictator ships creates the potential for a lot of deeply unethical / not so woke use cases. And of course the Chinese are not patiently waiting for people in Silicon Valley to spoon feed them the details on how this should be implemented and instead are running their own R&D. Probably openai is a bit ahead in terms of capabilities at this point in time. But I would not make too many assumptions about how far behind the Chinese are matching those capabilities. It's more a question of when they catch up rather than if. And e.g. the Russians seem to be held back more by their ineptness and lack of ingenuity rather than a willingness to cross some ethical lines. They'd go there in a heart beat if they could. The Ukraine conflict might be one of the last where the impact of AI is not that significant. Though arguably, the Ukrainians are being supported by western intelligence agencies who might be using some modern tools already. The right question to ask is what would today's conflicts look like if military leaders had access to state of the art AIs (which of course they will have very soon if they don't already). The answer is that it is going to be about as dark and ugly as you can imagine.
- slowmovintarget 4y ago> The cat is out of the bag. As GPT-4 puts it "the confetti has left the cannon."