In popular consciousness, there seems to exist this blind optimism of “it will only get better/faster/etc from here”. Which may be true, but as we saw with sem

In popular consciousness, there seems to exist this blind optimism of “it will only get better/faster/etc from here”. Which may be true, but as we saw with semiconductors, there’s always going to be an asymptote. And we don’t really know where that is until we hit it. Are we in 1970 semiconductor territory with LLMs, or are we in 2020 semiconductor territory? Ultimately, arguing about where we will be in ten years is somewhat futile.