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What sort of expectations are you seeing that you'd call absurd, out of curiosity? No agenda here, just also trying to sort through hype and reality.

• mjr00 4y ago
  Any expectation that we're going to see mass unemployment, or entire career paths made obsolete, is based on extremely inflated expectations of what LLMs could maybe do in the future. It has a very similar feeling to the mid-2010s claims that Blockchain would displace bank settlements/SWIFT, completely change the supply chain, and make governments change how land/property ownership was tracked.
  • version_five 4y ago
    Same was true for "deep learning" 4-5 years ago. There's a demand for consulting companies to come out with "future of work" reports about how technology will impact jobs. Everyone knows it's flying-car style futurism and not serious, but the media picks it up as reality. Last cycle, there were all kinds of reports on jobs that deep learning would make obsolete, truck drivers and radiologitst being the flagship cases. This time it's something else. It almost feels comforting to know your job is one of the predicted obsolete ones, because of how wrong these things are.
  • stemlord 4y ago
    That's maybe a bad comparison because blockchain was practically useful to no one whereas chatgpt, copilot, et al are legitimately starting to become useful tools.
  • baq 4y ago
    I’m seeing at least applied NLP positions going up in smoke… research is probably still going to be done, but as far as business is concerned, GPT ate NLP whole and didn’t even spit a single bone out.