I'm curious, did you read beyond the summary? (I don't mean that in a snide way, it's totally fine just to read the summary -- that's why it's there.) The 1e35

I'm curious, did you read beyond the summary? (I don't mean that in a snide way, it's totally fine just to read the summary -- that's why it's there.) The 1e35 FLOP number is meant as a conservative upper bound and comes from here: https://www.lesswrong.com/s/5Eg2urmQjA4ZNcezy/p/rzqACeBGycZtqCfaX#comments https://www.lesswrong.com/s/5Eg2urmQjA4ZNcezy/p/rzqACeBGycZt... The major fabs all have roadmaps for approaching 1 nm, and there are other advances that could allow you to keep going either if transistor size scaling stops (e.g., vertical scaling). (That said, I definitely don't think it's a given that HW price-performance keeps doubling at the same rate 10+ years.)