I'm about 30% confident that a Toyota Camry will last 15 years. I'm about 2% confident that a Tesla Model 3 will last 15 years. Ask again in 20 years, I expect

I'm about 30% confident that a Toyota Camry will last 15 years. I'm about 2% confident that a Tesla Model 3 will last 15 years. Ask again in 20 years, I expect to update these values.