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It is easy to find such examples. A lot of people see aliens in the skies. A lot of people buy into get rich quick schemes.

• deleted 4y ago
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• palata 4y ago
  That doesn't help your case :). Your intuition is not enough to say it's coming right at us. So where is the data? If there is no data, then it's just an intuition.
  • nuancebydefault 4y ago
    Even with or without data, every prediction is intuition. Data, if you need them, are the current events. But remember the quote 'Lies, damn lies and statistics'. It is the interpretation of the data that is what counts and that interpretation is partly subjective. Otherwise we would not be having this rather fierce but interesting conversation in the first place.
    • palata 4y ago
      Well, it can be more or less backed by facts. That's the difficult part: making the difference between what seems like a reasonable prediction and what is merely a belief. Climate change is coming at us. That's still a prediction (it hasn't happened yet), but not believing in it right now is irrational and dangerous. I don't think we can say that for AI. That AI will change the world is a belief. Doesn't mean that it won't.