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The physical labor jobs are only a few years behind due to the ramp-up required in manufacturing for robotics - and price points. But the embodied AIs are comin

The physical labor jobs are only a few years behind due to the ramp-up required in manufacturing for robotics - and price points. But the embodied AIs are coming, in humanoid form, to take all the labor jobs as well.

zamnos 4y ago
The Fed is playing a game of chicken with the economy to make it collapse, so we'll have to wait a bit longer because Google laid them off*. Hopefully Tesla's everyday robot attempt will be successful. * https://www.wired.com/story/alphabet-layoffs-hit-trash-sorting-robots/ https://www.wired.com/story/alphabet-layoffs-hit-trash-sorti...
jimbob45 4y ago
You say that but robot maintenance quickly makes complicated robots uneconomic.
- 6177c40f 4y ago
  Eventually you make robots that can maintain other robots who can maintain the maintaining robots.
SketchySeaBeast 4y ago
Well, power tools will make for even more exciting hallucinations. Edit: Aren't we discounting the computer power that will be required to have a robot computing and reacting to what will be dozens of inputs all in real time in a mobile bundle?
- beauzero 4y ago
  Power is my biggest concern too. Essentially taking 8B fairly efficient human machines and replicating their power consumption to care for them will be massive.
agentwiggles 4y ago
I _strongly_ doubt that physical labor jobs like plumbing will be replaced within a few years. I spent a year working in welding automation and folks wildly underestimate the difficulty of automating real physical tasks like this. And that's in a weld cell with calibrated physical relationships between every component, laser scanning, stereo cameras, and CAD-modeled parts with reasonable tolerances. The idea that a robotic solution to "crawling around in a basement and bodging pipes together" is anywhere near happening is frankly laughable. Further, with the current hot AI paradigm being LLMs, it's not even clear how these (very impressive) advancements would get us closer to robotic replacement of the trades.
- deleted 4y ago
  [deleted]

zamnos 4y ago

The Fed is playing a game of chicken with the economy to make it collapse, so we'll have to wait a bit longer because Google laid them off*. Hopefully Tesla's everyday robot attempt will be successful. * https://www.wired.com/story/alphabet-layoffs-hit-trash-sorting-robots/ https://www.wired.com/story/alphabet-layoffs-hit-trash-sorti...

jimbob45 4y ago

You say that but robot maintenance quickly makes complicated robots uneconomic.

6177c40f 4y ago
Eventually you make robots that can maintain other robots who can maintain the maintaining robots.

SketchySeaBeast 4y ago

Well, power tools will make for even more exciting hallucinations. Edit: Aren't we discounting the computer power that will be required to have a robot computing and reacting to what will be dozens of inputs all in real time in a mobile bundle?

beauzero 4y ago
Power is my biggest concern too. Essentially taking 8B fairly efficient human machines and replicating their power consumption to care for them will be massive.

agentwiggles 4y ago

I _strongly_ doubt that physical labor jobs like plumbing will be replaced within a few years. I spent a year working in welding automation and folks wildly underestimate the difficulty of automating real physical tasks like this. And that's in a weld cell with calibrated physical relationships between every component, laser scanning, stereo cameras, and CAD-modeled parts with reasonable tolerances. The idea that a robotic solution to "crawling around in a basement and bodging pipes together" is anywhere near happening is frankly laughable. Further, with the current hot AI paradigm being LLMs, it's not even clear how these (very impressive) advancements would get us closer to robotic replacement of the trades.

deleted 4y ago
[deleted]