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I have family in their 60s who will never lose job security due to being experts in Ada. Apple invited Flash developers at top sites (CNN, ESPN, NYTimes, etc)
by dzink 4y ago
I have family in their 60s who will never lose job security due to being experts in Ada.
Apple invited Flash developers at top sites (CNN, ESPN, NYTimes, etc) to a week-long class in embedding Video in cross-browser compatible video codex instead of Flash, right before the release of the iPad, so Jobs would have sites to demo with on stage.
AI is different. A 10x developer can now potentially build at 100x speed with Copilot and GPT4, but with the built-in sandbox it is likely that GPT will not only run but also optimize code beyond what any developer can do. I have no doubt that within weeks if not months, there will AI generated code a human will not be able to understand that will outperform and be available with just a word request.
This is not a shift from Flash to JS. That’s a shift from Software Engineering to being a Business Analyst overnight and the compensation will be even less due to oversupply of white collar talent. Management will be reduced too. This is not doom and gloom, this is prepare for these layoffs to be permanent and increased within months.
- matheusmoreira 4y ago> I have no doubt that within weeks if not months, there will AI generated code a human will not be able to understand that will outperform and be available with just a word request. And are we sure the AI won't be slipping malware into that code nobody understands?
- tripleo1 4y agoHonestly, you're running it already.
- melagonster 4y agoguess skynet in easy mode
- groby_b 4y agoMeanwhile, I'm just sitting here, picking bugs out of GPT4 code. But sure, 100x developers. It's good at well-known tasks. The more you veer into the unknown, the worse it gets. (It's the nature of LLMs). Will it impact CRUD development? Yes, indubitably. But no, we won't have 100x devs, and the SWEs that adopt to using it as a tool will do just fine. We won't run out of work. (One core point is that there's no upper bound for useful knowledge work)
- deleted 4y ago[deleted]