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I definitely think a lot of people here are missing the forest for the trees. A lot of the arguments seem to boil down to “it cannot do this now, so people won’

I definitely think a lot of people here are missing the forest for the trees. A lot of the arguments seem to boil down to “it cannot do this now, so people won’t be able to make it do so later”, which seems naive. Look at what Microsoft is investing in this tech - is anyone actually thinking that they won’t be able to figure out how to add structure to the output, or better train the models, integrate it better with stakeholder requirements, or whatever else? HN loves being contrarian, but in this case I think it’s more curmudgeon than contrarian.

moregrist 4y ago
The problem with this line of thinking is that it's essentially doom-scrolling. It's especially bad because ChatGPT came along during an industry down-cycle. An interesting thought experiment is: if hiring was like 2021, would your take be different? In terms of AI taking ALL THE JOBS... Maybe it will happen? Maybe it won't. But what action can we take from all this doom-scrolling? Other than "we should all be VERY CONCERNED." Which is just a way for us to stand around wringing our hands. My conclusion is much the same as always: I can't grow complacent. Which we've known for years. "The industry is changing." Of course it is. It's been changing for ~80 years. And if you go back to similar advances, you'll see similar arguments. Will this time be different? Maybe. But until it does, I think I'll continue to learn new skills (not just new languages/frameworks), refine my problem solving and troubleshooting, and above all, refine my people skills. But I think I'll avoid the doom-scrolling. Either AI is coming for ALL THE JOBS or it isn't, but even knowing that it is doesn't give me anything actionable to do about it.
- cowthulhu 4y ago
  It’s definitely sort of scary to me, but I’m hoping that it’ll be like previous times we have automated stuff - we’ll develop more advanced jobs on top of the new tech. So I don’t mean to be doom and gloom!

moregrist 4y ago

The problem with this line of thinking is that it's essentially doom-scrolling. It's especially bad because ChatGPT came along during an industry down-cycle. An interesting thought experiment is: if hiring was like 2021, would your take be different? In terms of AI taking ALL THE JOBS... Maybe it will happen? Maybe it won't. But what action can we take from all this doom-scrolling? Other than "we should all be VERY CONCERNED." Which is just a way for us to stand around wringing our hands. My conclusion is much the same as always: I can't grow complacent. Which we've known for years. "The industry is changing." Of course it is. It's been changing for ~80 years. And if you go back to similar advances, you'll see similar arguments. Will this time be different? Maybe. But until it does, I think I'll continue to learn new skills (not just new languages/frameworks), refine my problem solving and troubleshooting, and above all, refine my people skills. But I think I'll avoid the doom-scrolling. Either AI is coming for ALL THE JOBS or it isn't, but even knowing that it is doesn't give me anything actionable to do about it.

cowthulhu 4y ago
It’s definitely sort of scary to me, but I’m hoping that it’ll be like previous times we have automated stuff - we’ll develop more advanced jobs on top of the new tech. So I don’t mean to be doom and gloom!