2 ms·
I don’t understand why people see this future as guaranteed, just because GPT4 was a great improvement on 3.5 does not imply this approach will continue acceler
by mrbombastic 4y ago
I don’t understand why people see this future as guaranteed, just because GPT4 was a great improvement on 3.5 does not imply this approach will continue accelerating at this rate. I am not saying it definitely won’t happen but I find the confidence that it will pretty baffling.
- nirvdrum 4y agoIt seems unlikely to me that this technology has plateaued. The gains have been exponential. It strikes me as prudent to at least consider its continued improvement a possibility and try to work out what that means for society. The best thing on the table so far is people lose jobs and business owners make more money. Some amount of that is unavoidable and maybe even beneficial, but too much of it is unsustainable. Better to have a plan and not need and all that.
- mrbombastic 4y agoI don’t take issue with considering continued improvement and largely agree with this, my issue is with all the proponents who speak about it as if it is guaranteed.
- anon7725 4y agoWe have numerous examples that have worked this way throughout the history of computing. It would be shocking if it plateaued this early.
- mrbombastic 4y agoWe have numerous that haven’t also, AI approaches specifically have plateaued quite a bit throughout history.