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I don't see it. I consult, and AI has just let me take on more clients. Using ChatGPT lets me finish their projects faster. What's ending is the era of CRUD wo

I don't see it. I consult, and AI has just let me take on more clients. Using ChatGPT lets me finish their projects faster. What's ending is the era of CRUD work.

grugagag 4y ago
> don't see it. I consult, and AI has just let me take on more clients. Using ChatGPT lets me finish their projects faster. Get ready to take on more clients and at a smaller and smaller gain. An avalanche of competition is coming your way too if you have no moat.
- brushfoot 4y ago
  For sure. I recommend anyone in business for themselves productize and build moats. I still work about the same hours, though. AI has just raised the level of abstraction. Less time is spent on looking up specific syntax and more on reviewing, iterating, testing, architecting.
blackoil 4y ago
Today yeah, but tomorrow the clients can use GPT 7 consultant who has better context with access to all the mails/data of the client. It is fast/cheap and is a polymath.
- mrbombastic 4y ago
  I don’t understand why people see this future as guaranteed, just because GPT4 was a great improvement on 3.5 does not imply this approach will continue accelerating at this rate. I am not saying it definitely won’t happen but I find the confidence that it will pretty baffling.
  - nirvdrum 4y ago
    It seems unlikely to me that this technology has plateaued. The gains have been exponential. It strikes me as prudent to at least consider its continued improvement a possibility and try to work out what that means for society. The best thing on the table so far is people lose jobs and business owners make more money. Some amount of that is unavoidable and maybe even beneficial, but too much of it is unsustainable. Better to have a plan and not need and all that.
    - mrbombastic 4y ago
      I don’t take issue with considering continued improvement and largely agree with this, my issue is with all the proponents who speak about it as if it is guaranteed.
  - anon7725 4y ago
    We have numerous examples that have worked this way throughout the history of computing. It would be shocking if it plateaued this early.
    - mrbombastic 4y ago
      We have numerous that haven’t also, AI approaches specifically have plateaued quite a bit throughout history.
- pharmakom 4y ago
  Why do you think such a world would have companies, governments or even money? We are way outside the horizon of predictability if LLMs reach AGI levels.

I don't see it. I consult, and AI has just let me take on more clients. Using ChatGPT lets me finish their projects faster. What's ending is the era of CRUD work.

grugagag 4y ago

> don't see it. I consult, and AI has just let me take on more clients. Using ChatGPT lets me finish their projects faster. Get ready to take on more clients and at a smaller and smaller gain. An avalanche of competition is coming your way too if you have no moat.

brushfoot 4y ago
For sure. I recommend anyone in business for themselves productize and build moats. I still work about the same hours, though. AI has just raised the level of abstraction. Less time is spent on looking up specific syntax and more on reviewing, iterating, testing, architecting.

blackoil 4y ago

Today yeah, but tomorrow the clients can use GPT 7 consultant who has better context with access to all the mails/data of the client. It is fast/cheap and is a polymath.

mrbombastic 4y ago
I don’t understand why people see this future as guaranteed, just because GPT4 was a great improvement on 3.5 does not imply this approach will continue accelerating at this rate. I am not saying it definitely won’t happen but I find the confidence that it will pretty baffling.
- nirvdrum 4y ago
  It seems unlikely to me that this technology has plateaued. The gains have been exponential. It strikes me as prudent to at least consider its continued improvement a possibility and try to work out what that means for society. The best thing on the table so far is people lose jobs and business owners make more money. Some amount of that is unavoidable and maybe even beneficial, but too much of it is unsustainable. Better to have a plan and not need and all that.
  - mrbombastic 4y ago
    I don’t take issue with considering continued improvement and largely agree with this, my issue is with all the proponents who speak about it as if it is guaranteed.
- anon7725 4y ago
  We have numerous examples that have worked this way throughout the history of computing. It would be shocking if it plateaued this early.
  - mrbombastic 4y ago
    We have numerous that haven’t also, AI approaches specifically have plateaued quite a bit throughout history.
pharmakom 4y ago
Why do you think such a world would have companies, governments or even money? We are way outside the horizon of predictability if LLMs reach AGI levels.