That's not first principles, that's a bunch of assumptions: > If there's a ceiling to the demand for programming work and we're near that ceiling, and you then

That's not first principles, that's a bunch of assumptions: > If there's a ceiling to the demand for programming work and we're near that ceiling, and you then increase the productivity of all programmers, Look at the history of civilization. Throughout millenia, we've advanced tremendously but still the vast majority of people across all (current) industries have jobs.