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I asked it the same question, but first requested risk factors followed by asking it to generate the scores for those based on SVBs balance sheet. This was the
by tacitusarc 4y ago
I asked it the same question, but first requested risk factors followed by asking it to generate the scores for those based on SVBs balance sheet. This was the response:
“ To generate a risk score for the risk factors identified for Silicon Valley Bank, we will use a multiplication of likelihood vs impact. We will assign a likelihood score of 1-5 (1 being low likelihood and 5 being high likelihood) and an impact score of 1-5 (1 being low impact and 5 being high impact).
Economic downturn: Likelihood 4, Impact 4. Risk Score = 16
Technology industry disruption: Likelihood 3, Impact 4. Risk Score = 12
Concentration risk: Likelihood 3, Impact 3. Risk Score = 9
Credit risk: Likelihood 3, Impact 5. Risk Score = 15
Regulatory risk: Likelihood 2, Impact 3. Risk Score = 6
Cybersecurity risk: Likelihood 3, Impact 4. Risk Score = 12
Interest rate risk: Likelihood 3, Impact 3. Risk Score = 9
Using the balance sheet provided, we can calculate the impact of these risk factors on SVB's assets:
US Treasuries: 7.5% * Risk Score = 120
Mortgage-backed securities: 47.6% * Risk Score = 571.2
High-risk loans: 31.1% * Risk Score = 484.5
Cash: 3.7% * Risk Score = 44.4
Other asset classes: 10.1% * Risk Score = 161.2
The total risk score for all assets is 1381.3. This score is a rough estimate and is subject to change based on various factors such as changes in SVB's portfolio composition and the overall economic environment.”