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So what you refer to as the bust is when it reverts from boom to the mean, and your evidence is that this has happened...once? This isn't really a chart showin

So what you refer to as the bust is when it reverts from boom to the mean, and your evidence is that this has happened...once? This isn't really a chart showing a cycle, at least not a multi-year cycle. You have 40 years of between 4 and 5, then a 5 year bubble and a retrenchment that bottoms out at about 5 before rising again. There's no consistent cycle, though. If, for example, every 20 years you had it cross 5 and go to 6 then go back to 4 for a few years before repeating, that would be a cycle.

cudgy 4y ago
Cycles are clearly shown in the chart. They do not have to be consistent in gap as no economic business cycles present that way. Of course, these numbers are aggregate across all housing in 2 countries so the cycles are muted versus local min/max demonstrated in specific metro areas. Even small swings from 5 to 4 demonstrate a 25% swing in aggregate housing prices, which is still significant. The whipsawing recently since 2000 represent two swings of around 75% in aggregate housing prices relative to incomes.