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Based on the speed at which OpenAI is shipping new products and assuming that they use their own technology, I'm starting to get more and more convinced that th
by huijzer 4y ago
Based on the speed at which OpenAI is shipping new products and assuming that they use their own technology, I'm starting to get more and more convinced that their technology is a superpower.
Timeline of shipping by them (based on https://twitter.com/E0M/status/1635727471747407872?s=20 https://twitter.com/E0M/status/1635727471747407872?s=20):
DALL·E - July '22
ChatGPT - Nov '22
API's 66% cheaper - Aug '22
Embeddings 500x cheaper while SoTA - Dec '22
ChatGPT API. Also 10x cheaper while SoTA - March '23
Whisper API - March '23
GPT-4 - March '23
Plugins - March '23
Note that they have only a few hundred employees. To quote Fireship from YouTube: "2023 has been a crazy decade so far"
- softwaredoug 4y agoTheir superpower is having a tech giant owning 49% of them, willing to drop deep deep money, without the obvious payoff. :) I also wonder to what extent their staffing numbers reflect reality. How much of Azure's staffing has been put on OpenAI projects? That's probably an actual reflection of the real cost of this thing.
- huijzer 4y ago> How much of Azure's staffing has been put on OpenAI projects? Great point!
- baq 4y agoIt's probably burning through tens of millions per day and it still doesn't matter, this is fusion power in electricity terms. Free money down the line after the initial investment. I'll pay, you'll pay, your neighbour's dog will pay for this.
- pbronez 4y agoYes, but other orgs have similar resources. Most obvious is Google/Deepmind. Apple too. Neither of them made this leap.
- jimkleiber 4y agoYeah, I'd be really curious to hear how much people within OpenAI use their tools to create and ship their code. That would be quite a compelling testimony, and also help me feel more clear, because I've been quite confused at how quickly things have been going for them.
- wahnfrieden 4y agowhat makes you think they are leaders at applying the tech they create?
- BrianOnHN 4y agoI've seen tweets that suggest they are using it, particularly, the prerelease GPT-4 was used internally.
- Thorentis 4y agoThe DoD really needs to step in and mark this tech as non-exportable due to the advantage (or potential advantage) it provides in many different fields.
- int_19h 4y agoRussia is already blocked from ChatGPT and Bing; I don't know about China. But it's all security theater. Plenty of people use it with VPNs, and I know several who found it useful / interesting enough to bother paying for it (which involves foreign credit cards etc so it's kind of a hassle). I'm sure so does the Russian govt. In any case, I don't see how you could realistically block any of that without effectively walling off the rest of the Internet.
- Thorentis 4y agoNot exportable often means just not available on the Internet at all. Due to a range of factors, such as the dilution of human content online, the inability to prevent bad actors from using it etc I would rather this tech never saw the light of day and was limited to government and research institutions.
- int_19h 4y agoIt never works like that with tech. Especially not this kind of tech, where all the building blocks have been around for some time and are well-understood - just not the result of combining them at this scale. In any case, if it's really that powerful, limiting it to one government sounds like a recipe for the worst kind of a one world state to me.
- butterfly771 4y agoI am from China, the Chinese government has banned access to chatgpt related products and Baidu has launched the 文心一言 which is basically gpt-3.
- int_19h 4y ago
- baq 4y ago> "2023 has been a crazy decade so far" what a couple weeks!