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A little surprised to see Boston increasing rent activity, but I think Boston has been slowly losing its footing on the tech ladder in favor of Biotech (take a
by lsllc 4y ago
A little surprised to see Boston increasing rent activity, but I think Boston has been slowly losing its footing on the tech ladder in favor of Biotech (take a look around Kendall Sq). Can't really WFH in Biotech if you need lab space.
Probably started when DEC was consumed by Compaq ... even YC moved out (maybe it's the weather).
- r_klancer 4y ago(Sitting in Kendall Square right now). I'm not surprised, though we're saying the same thing. So. Much. Biotech. This is why the WFH revolution didn't make me panic when I discovered how much it would end up costing to renovate a small house 1.5 miles from here. So much biotech, and for that you need to be in the lab at least some of the time. The MBTA's recent troubles ("global slow zone", anyone?) only make it "better", like I paid them off or something.
- neilv 4y agoI'm sitting just up the street right now, and -- hoping to buy a walkable nice home in town someday -- wholeheartedly counsel the East Cambridge biotech people and the Kendall MSFT/GOOG/etc. outpost people to make a luxurious and convenient commuter rail ride, between work and BFE part of their daily lifestyle.
- kitten_mittens_ 4y agoIf the commuter rail ever electrifies and becomes regional rail, it might not be so bad.
- lsllc 4y agoThe commuter rail as-is is too infrequent, too packed and too polluting with all those stops & a diesel train. Overhead electrification on the commuter rail lines or even battery-electric trains would allow the T to run Green line style trams further out into the 'burbs out to I95 and let the commuter rail trains focus on the I495+ outer burbs/medium distance without having to stop frequently on the inner part. Reusing the existing commuter rail lines with trams is much cheaper than building new T lines as they did with the Green line into Medford (and if you don't live in Medford, it doesn't help you!).
- dbcurtis 4y agoI think the "lab space" requirement is going to drive a lot of the WFH-or-not office space planning among employers that don't fall into the "come in for no reason other than I said so" category. In my case, I work in robotics. Somebody working on the perception stack software and going to the occasional zoom meeting has little reason to show up at the office beyond random hallway meetings and free micro-kitchen snacks. A machinist in the prototyping lab, on the other hand, needs to be in front of the giant, expensive CNC machine. For me personally, I have a mix of coding days and lab days, and WFH or go in according to the tasks of the day. Clued-in companies are going to adjust their real-estate mix. I predict a drop in the fraction of commercial space that consists of carpeted offices.
- phkahler 4y ago>> I think the "lab space" requirement is going to drive a lot of the WFH-or-not office space planning among employers that don't fall into the "come in for no reason other than I said so" category. I wonder if there will be a another push for those jobs to go to lower cost countries.
- dr-detroit 4y ago[dead]
- 908B64B197 4y ago> I wonder if there will be a another push for those jobs to go to lower cost countries. They are lower cost for a reason...
- CrimpCity 4y agoThere may be a lot of cost savings in labor but there’s a huge risk in technology transfer & following lab protocols. In biotech lab culture and best practices are actually a tighter package than “low” skill factory work. So you get really variable outcomes when you unbundle the lab.
- gabythenerd 4y agoSome of those jobs are already in lower cost countries but some can't be outsourced because they rely on military contracts (can only be worked on by US employees). I once worked on an offshore company that did staff augmentation for american robotics companies, we did mostly software because the hardware was illegal to export.
- bcrosby95 4y agoI don't know about biotech, but my brother works in a lab with lasers and he's still WFH 3-5 days/week. Experiments are done in the office, but planned and analyzed at home.
- kibwen 4y agoFor the purpose of this conversation, there's no practical difference between "work from home only some of the time" and "never work from home". If you have to be in the office two days a week, that implies both the purposeful existence of an office and a need to live somewhere that's not a zillion miles away from that office.
- re-thc 4y agoThere definitely is impact. Shops can't survive being only open 2/7 of the time. As in things like coffee shops, restaurants, etc and this cascades. Even malls are impact as people might buy random things at lunch or after work.
- kibwen 4y agoCoffee shops and lunch restaurants--the places people going to an office might frequent--sure. But other shops will still exist (or if they don't, it will be because of Amazon, not because of WFH). As for reduced foot traffic, that problem will solve itself if commercial rents plummet; look at the storefronts in any depressed town or dying mall and marvel at the weird, low-traffic uses that empty storefronts get put to when landlords get desperate ("Sure, you want to open a store for bouncy-ball enthusiasts that's only open on Mondays? Keep the pipes from freezing over and it's yours."). And if there are 2/7ths as many Starbucks, that'll still leave two Starbucks within eyeshot at any given moment.
- re-thc 4y ago> And if there are 2/7ths as many Starbucks, that'll still leave two Starbucks within eyeshot at any given moment. It doesn't work. It'll go to 0. None can cover the costs. > But other shops will still exist You might be surprised the number of people that sneak out during work or during "breaks" and/or before/after work. Have seen people with all sorts of things from the shop in the office that isn't food.
- acchow 4y agoI wonder if biotech in the Bay Area can now expand into SF because of falling rents?
- MontyCarloHall 4y agoNo. The building requirements for lab space make it infeasible to retrofit existing offices. For instance, lab buildings typically require floor-to-floor heights of at least 15 feet in order to accommodate 5+ feet of mechanicals for every floor. They concomitantly require much larger utility risers between floors, and floors that can support much heavier loads than office buildings.
- refurb 4y agoWhy would it want to? The heart of biotech in the Bay Area is South SF. Genentech is there. And developers have built several millions of square feet of lab space in the last 5-10 years just West of 101. It's amazing to see 3-4 towers that have gone up in just a few years. South SF is very business friendly, there is plenty of open land and it's nice to plant your company somewhere where there are dozens of other start-ups/small biotechs within a 10 min walk. There is some biotech around USCF in Mission Bay (and some venture firms), but it's pretty small at this point.
- doktorhladnjak 4y agoThat area is completely unwalkable. It’s all just offices and lab buildings. No shops. Only a couple of restaurants in the airport hotels nearby. Public transport is not accessible. It’s really a world away from SF or anywhere interesting.
- refurb 4y agoThe South Bay is also unwalkable. But it's still the center of tech in the Bay area. If the choice is between "trendy restaurants" and "center of business universe", trendy restaurants ain't gonna win.
- acchow 4y ago
- ghaff 4y agoThough almost all of the major MA computer industry was out in the suburbs and ex-urbs anyway. Lotus is the main exception I can think of. Biotech and pharma is obviously huge around Kendall. The big software companies in Boston and Cambridge today are mostly offices of West Coast companies. One reason building up Biotech and Pharma wholesale in the Kendall Square area was practical was a lot of that was underutilized warehouses and the like from Cambridge's industrial era so you could (and continue to) do massive new constructions for those types of companies (and MIT of course).
- MrFoof 4y agoBoston in general has always had the 128 loop containing a fair number of companies. Especially prior to the Big Dig, where congestion in and directly around the city was beyond heinous. DEC never really was in Boston, but QUITE a ways outside not just Boston, but over 10 miles outside the 128 loop as well. Though the reality is Boston has a lot of industries. It's not just some computer tech and biotech, but the metro is still a top global education destination, still has a huge medical footprint, still has several massive financial institutions (notably Fidelity and State Street) and a decent banking footprint, as well as insurance. Boston has a lot of industry tentpoles, so it's very resilient to one industry going elsewhere, like when tech heavily shifted to the Valley long ago. Though the MBTA's shortcomings in the past 5-7 years is starting to take its toll. I feel the T being taken over by the fed to right the ship a la DC is inevitable, and it's likely necessary for Boston and Cambridge to not significantly lose appeal. Though at least it's one of the most walkable metros (particularly Boston, Cambridge, Somerville, Brookline and Quincy) in the country.