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This reminds me of a quote from Joel Spolsky in the early 2000's but he was talking about offshoring: "There is always a global shortage of developers who know
by alexpotato 4y ago
This reminds me of a quote from Joel Spolsky in the early 2000's but he was talking about offshoring:
"There is always a global shortage of developers who know what they are doing"
At the time, I wasn't sure if this was the case but two things have helped me believe that this is true:
1. a few years ago there was a stat going around on HN that something like less than 5% of the US population could even write a Hello World application in ANY language
2. 15+ years of working in tech and 5+ years of being a hiring manager have shown me that even people with great looking resumes often fail the Fizz Buzz test
- steve_adams_86 4y agoI suppose what people are afraid of is that the devs who can do Hello World + pass Fizz Buzz might use AI to orchestrate sophisticated systems which actually are effective in reducing a lot of menial work, which could eliminate a non-trivial number of jobs through sheer reduction of necessary labour/brain power. I agree though, off-shoring could have been the cheap labour which displaced a lot of devs, but I actually found a lot of work cleaning up off-shored applications and made great money doing it. It's perfectly possible that some horrible amalgamations of software will be puked out by AIs for a few years and ultimately create as much work as it displaced.