It's complicated. There is warming occurring, on average, overall, that's indisputable at this point. Variation is also increasing. (Or to restate it... things

It's complicated. There is warming occurring, on average, overall, that's indisputable at this point. Variation is also increasing. (Or to restate it... things have gotten spiky...the average is trending up, but the increase in variation is such that the lowest lows are lower than they were in the past.