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Let’s play a game of “conservative impacts of AI on the labor force” - the Bureau of Labor Statistics thinks we should have 15% more software engineers in 10 y
by anon7725 4y ago
Let’s play a game of “conservative impacts of AI on the labor force”
- the Bureau of Labor Statistics thinks we should have 15% more software engineers in 10 years. What if we had 10% fewer?
-800k project managers - how about 650k in 10 years?
-nearly 4 million executive assistants and admins - let’s take 1M off that total
-millions combined (still) in clerical roles across industries, including financial, medical, warehouse, etc. let’s take 1-2M off that total
- journalists, writers, editors, graphic designers, interior designers, illustrators, …
… and the list goes on. These are intentionally conservative numbers (no 50% cuts or jobs going away entirely) but they still add up to millions.
- dragonwriter 4y agoIn what sense is any of that “conservative”? (I mean, my intuition would be, for example, that it means more software engineers, and disproportionately even more PMs -- though probably often with a different title -- as it expabds the market for software solutions, and reduces the engineering effort to product decision ratio. But that’s not conservative, any more than your catastrophizing is.)
- anon7725 4y agoOkay let’s take the software industry out of it. Do you think millions of non-software jobs will be affected?