4 ms·
A few paragraphs in, we get this: > The rise of AI will free people up to do things that software never will—teaching, caring for patients, and supporting the
by 1attice 4y ago
A few paragraphs in, we get this:
> The rise of AI will free people up to do things that software never will—teaching, caring for patients, and supporting the elderly, for example.
First, he's already shown how teaching jobs can be easily eliminated by AI, just a few paragraphs above. And 'caring for patients' and 'supporting the elderly' sound sort ok, until you realize that these joblines are all sharply constrained by available funding. Further competition will drive wages down further. Not to mention that an out-of-work software engineer would probably make a terrible nurse, even if working under the watchful eye of HospitalAI or whatever.
Moreover, these are all already underfunded pink-collar jobs -- which means you're going to have a lot of men that, for reasons of identity or machismo or inclination or what-have-you, simply don't want to do. We already have a crisis in college & career performance with men, especially young men. Telling them that they will be helping dress their grandparents for $16/h, with zero opportunity to advance, is probably not going to go down great.
Statistically, this is precisely the demographic most inclined to cause political unrest. Further declines in opportunity will therefore probably lead to a rise in, for example, far-right militias, QAnon-like phenomena, and attempted coups.
[aside: Jan 6 will probably be seen as a 'Columbine moment' -- a singular event that spawned countless imitations, to which we will become so inured that they will become part of the fabric of the evening news.(Perhaps the Onion will make an article for coups that it recycles every coup.)]
So, once again, we have an AI-celebratory article that sounds great until you press it on the question of: what will we be doing with our time, and how will any of us make a living doing it?
Billg has no coherent idea.
Socioeconomically, we're the proverbial racetrack greyhound that caught the mechanical rabbit. The game is over, the greyhound is confused, and everybody is checking their losses, wondering if there will be another race any time soon.
EDIT: light revision for clarity (broke out the paragraph beginning 'Jan 6' as an aside, removed the word 'ever' in front of 'any time soon', and cut redundant/reiterative first paragraph) at 13:32PDT Mar 21