>So you're saying they might be incompetent enough for their estimation to be off by 50x? Not sure about incompetence, it's just a very hard problem. Sam Altma

>So you're saying they might be incompetent enough for their estimation to be off by 50x? Not sure about incompetence, it's just a very hard problem. Sam Altman's estimations for ChatGPT were off by 10x, for reference. Apparently some employees thought it would be a total flop that would barely make the last page of major newspapers. > You're also saying Google, _a cloud computing provider selling access to A100s_, can't scale this dynamically? I'm saying that Google can not acquire enormous quantities of A100s overnight, yes.