4 ms·
>The assumption in your post is that the ‘bullshitting’ won’t/can’t be solved within a few iterations. Because it can't, at least not how chatGPT currently ope
by Xeamek 4y ago
>The assumption in your post is that the ‘bullshitting’ won’t/can’t be solved within a few iterations.
Because it can't, at least not how chatGPT currently operates.
Is it possible there will be more breakthroughs soon? Sure. But it's also possible that we just made a massive leap and we won't see any major revolutions any time soon
>We are still right at the birth of this technology - assuming this technology takes 30 years to fully mature it’s like we are in 1978 trying to predict the iPhone.
Except we don't know where we are. We might verry well be close to the peak, rather then beginning.
- Closi 4y agoIt’s unlikely we are close to the peak IMO - the rate of improvement and discoveries appears to be increasing rather than decreasing, implying that we are still at the start of the curve. Progress doesn’t usually immediately stop, you would expect it to slowly flatten. It will absolutely need to be combined with other breakthroughs - but this is already happening. There are architectures in the works that allow AI agents to perform accurate calculations, search the internet, and check knowledge graphs. Then there is a whole raft of technologies yet to emerge which will embed this into real world work flows, which hasn’t really started happening in a significant way yet (bits and bobs but not to where it will inevitably will be). I just can’t see a world where there isn’t more progress in these technologies - I don’t know if they will be a ‘good’ thing or not for society as we know it, however with the rate of change at the moment we are unlikely to be anywhere near the destination of where the train goes.