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Translating between the virtual realm and the physical realm is where AI would have trouble. But that is pretty obvious to us, and would also be obvious to an A
by scarmig 4y ago
Translating between the virtual realm and the physical realm is where AI would have trouble. But that is pretty obvious to us, and would also be obvious to an AI intent on paperclipping us. So it wouldn't try to engage in that kind of negotiation. And the threat of it screwing up all our IT infrastructure, though likely to cause lots of harm, is hollow, because that would mean its own destruction with too few paperclips.
Instead, the danger is in the potential for manipulation. Even now ChatGPT is able to infer the internal mental state of humans, and it can create outputs to interact with those to achieve whatever ends it wants. That's not going to be through generating a bunch of fake news to cause nuclear war (results in too few paperclips), but by offering a profit motive to create material entities under its direct control. That's the point where it becomes self-sustaining and, once a critical mass is achieved, the paperclipping can begin.
(I find this accounting of the AI apocalypse less plausible than humans intentionally creating malevolent AIs to destroy us, which seems the bigger threat.)
- jay_kyburz 4y ago>paperclipping us. Humans are whiny, messy, meatbags that breakdown all the time. 3d printing dedicated machines much less effort that managing livestock.
- aabhay 4y agoEven if the main tool is manipulation, you would have to assume that the humans retained at least some agency in this system. And if you truly think that a singular intelligence could just puppeteer entire civilizations, you’re using the same rationalist scarecrow trap that there isn’t some vastly likelier middle ground that we should be more concerned about (but by definition is less dramatic and therefore less fun to write about)