I tend to agree, but I think an interesting counter example is the hard wall self driving seems to have hit. There was a moment when even the experts in the fie

I tend to agree, but I think an interesting counter example is the hard wall self driving seems to have hit. There was a moment when even the experts in the field seemed convinced that we were only a year or two out from true Level 5 driving. But now everyone seems to be much more uncertain and conservative in their forecasts of the advent of L5. Perhaps we'll see similar difficulties with these LLMs. They are definitely not quite there yet. I'm currently trying to get ChatGPT to write some Python code that formats SQL statements according to my idiosyncratic preferences and it keeps getting very close but never gets it exactly correct.