Real-world exponential curves aren't smooth when zoomed in. It's likely that we're on an exponential curve, but the advent of AGI for instance will probably ju

Real-world exponential curves aren't smooth when zoomed in. It's likely that we're on an exponential curve, but the advent of AGI for instance will probably just moonshot the tech level overnight--it's the fulcrum for the "exponential" part of the graph (maybe--that's my prediction). People are measuring this, of course, but the metrics are all very hotly debated right now in terms of measuring abilities.