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It did make many jobs and people redundant, though. But because the world was growing, the economy grew with it and replaced that with other jobs. If growth sta
by tgv 4y ago
It did make many jobs and people redundant, though. But because the world was growing, the economy grew with it and replaced that with other jobs. If growth stagnates, there's no guarantee for job replacement.
And any parallel with AI/GPT is completely absurd, even though it's the reason why this is upvoted.
- ithkuil 4y agoThe parallel may well be wrong, but I would go as far as calling it absurd.
- arlcode 4y agoIt's unfounded regardless of what you believe will happen. We are still months / years too early to see how transformative exactly GPT based AI opportunities will be. We are clearly beyond the "Neat academic resarch" phase and well into the product building phase of this new technology but some things are only clear in hindsight. The spectrum goes from "useful niche tools" to "industrial revolution" and we must not forget that even very successful technological breakthroughs are usually marketed way beyond their actual capabilities. People in the second row who are now betting hard on AI may as well be the billionaires of tomorrow or they will be forgotten and swallowed up by confirmation bias.
- dalbasal 4y ago>>If growth stagnates, there's no guarantee for job replacement. No guarantees, but no hard rules euther. PCs are the ultimate clerical and administrative machines. You don't need secretaries or typists. Don't need memos and mailrooms. Stuff gets filed automatically. We put one on every desk. Typists and secretaries went away, but administration went on a growth spurt. Whether it's school admin, corporate HR or hospital billing.. Administrative work became much more plentiful once PCs proliferated. We write, more letters, file more forms, sign more agreements. Maybe that stuff is valuable, and since we can do more of it with computers, we do. Maybe it has nothing to do with efficiency or value. Whatever the case, it demonstrates that the "progress Vs luddites" debate can't be solved with a simple model. Absurdity assume a reasonable world. Sometimes the world is weird.
- ithkuil 4y agoCould be a case of Jevons paradox? https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jevons_paradox https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jevons_paradox Sometimes when things look weird to us, it just means that it's counterintuitive and necessarily irrational