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Elon also said he would resign as CEO

by Invictus0 4y ago

elif 4y ago
He also said it would probably take about a year to find someone with the right stuff..
- Invictus0 4y ago
  He also said full self driving was a year away about 10 years ago
  - elif 4y ago
    The quote you are referencing is in the comment section, and he said there would be vehicles competing 90% of some journeys. That was accurate. His most inaccurate estimate was in 2020 that they could be a million robotaxis on the road in a year. That was off by a factor of 75% or so, as there were only about 200K beta testers in 2021. Today that figure is about 450K. FSD10 is good enough to drive 98% of journeys and 11 looks closer to 99%. Tesla is more cautious about removing humans because the scale and theater of operation is drastically different from the waymo/ford taxis which have no path to full self driving (as they cannot operate on the full roadway system) and because they are consumer products instead of their own internal tooling (complete with remote monitoring and control capability).
    - Timon3 4y ago
      If we're going by inaccurate estimates in 2020, how about this one? > “I think we will be ‘feature-complete’ on full self-driving this year, meaning the car will be able to find you in a parking lot, pick you up, take you all the way to your destination without an intervention this year,” Musk said during a podcast interview with the money management firm ARK Invest, which is a Tesla investor. “I am certain of that. That is not a question mark.” https://www.wired.com/story/elon-musk-tesla-full-self-driving-2019-2020-promise/ https://www.wired.com/story/elon-musk-tesla-full-self-drivin...
    - Invictus0 4y ago
      > FSD10 is good enough to drive 98% of journeys and 11 looks closer to 99%. That is really not very good at all. If I take 4 trips a day (home to work, work to home, drive to pick up kids from school, drive home) that means I get into a car accident once a month. This is all just very irrelevant from the main point which is that Elon routinely makes highly dubious statements about the future.

Elon also said he would resign as CEO

elif 4y ago

He also said it would probably take about a year to find someone with the right stuff..

Invictus0 4y ago
He also said full self driving was a year away about 10 years ago
- elif 4y ago
  The quote you are referencing is in the comment section, and he said there would be vehicles competing 90% of some journeys. That was accurate. His most inaccurate estimate was in 2020 that they could be a million robotaxis on the road in a year. That was off by a factor of 75% or so, as there were only about 200K beta testers in 2021. Today that figure is about 450K. FSD10 is good enough to drive 98% of journeys and 11 looks closer to 99%. Tesla is more cautious about removing humans because the scale and theater of operation is drastically different from the waymo/ford taxis which have no path to full self driving (as they cannot operate on the full roadway system) and because they are consumer products instead of their own internal tooling (complete with remote monitoring and control capability).
  - Timon3 4y ago
    If we're going by inaccurate estimates in 2020, how about this one? > “I think we will be ‘feature-complete’ on full self-driving this year, meaning the car will be able to find you in a parking lot, pick you up, take you all the way to your destination without an intervention this year,” Musk said during a podcast interview with the money management firm ARK Invest, which is a Tesla investor. “I am certain of that. That is not a question mark.” https://www.wired.com/story/elon-musk-tesla-full-self-driving-2019-2020-promise/ https://www.wired.com/story/elon-musk-tesla-full-self-drivin...
  - Invictus0 4y ago
    > FSD10 is good enough to drive 98% of journeys and 11 looks closer to 99%. That is really not very good at all. If I take 4 trips a day (home to work, work to home, drive to pick up kids from school, drive home) that means I get into a car accident once a month. This is all just very irrelevant from the main point which is that Elon routinely makes highly dubious statements about the future.