3 ms·

Many trades will be much more protected against AI gains as well

• toomuchtodo 4y ago
  Indeed! LLMs ain't gonna be performing electrical, plumbing, earthwork, welding, or carpentry anytime soon. If anything, its going to flush out the bullshit jobs while the economy is in a position to reward those performing higher value work.
  • ldhough 4y ago
    I agree but according to the BLS employment numbers are as follows in the US: Electrician: 650k Plumber: 469k Earthwork: Don't see an exact match Welding: 428k Carpentry: 668k Software Devs, QA, & Testing: 1.62m Programmers: 152k Not sure how they differentiate between devs & programmers but even if we just take the 1.62m figure it is well over half the total employment in those trades. If software devs get 75-90% replaced (I don't think it'll be this bad and for my own sake as an early career dev I really hope not but I don't see it as impossible) I imagine most white collar jobs are coming with us. Will the trades pay as well when a ton of people are looking to reskill into something that still exists?
  • helsinki 4y ago
    This assumes there will be people that can afford to pay them for their work...