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If you told me that if I leave my house at 10:00 PM to-nite and I had a probability 1/15000 chance of dying or become incapacitated I would more than likely wai
by sml156 4y ago
If you told me that if I leave my house at 10:00 PM to-nite and I had a probability 1/15000 chance of dying or become incapacitated I would more than likely wait five or ten mins before leaving.
- yuliyp 4y ago50-year-old males have a 1/75000 chance of dying on any given day. 70-year-old males have a 1/15000 chance of dying on any given day. See https://www.ssa.gov/oact/STATS/table4c6.html https://www.ssa.gov/oact/STATS/table4c6.html
- nawgz 4y agoEdit: I do apologize, I typo'd. My ratio should have been 1 in 700k, not 1 in 15k > of dying or become incapacitated Sorry, I don't see any death in the logs, can you point me to recent aviation deaths that were caused by this? > or become incapacitated For instance, you have a ~1 in 366 chance of being in a car accident per 1000 miles driven. I think you should stay home more often, or learn more about probability.