Japan builds their own rockets but they are low volume and not in the market, mostly domestic stuff. Russia is for now out of the international a launch market.

Japan builds their own rockets but they are low volume and not in the market, mostly domestic stuff. Russia is for now out of the international a launch market. China is mostly out of the 'Western' launch market as well, but there is a lot going on there. EU is spending lots of money for bad results. But because of Amazon they have some contracts. Basically any heavy lift rocket not by SpaceX will get contracts. But SpaceX for now will have to fly a lot of the European payloads, because it will take a long time before Ariane 6 is full operational. And then it will take another 10 years and another 5-10 billion $ for Europe to launch a competitor to Falcon 9. By that point of course, Starship will already be standard. India builds rockets at low cadence and are not a serous contender. > then the other state actors That takes 15-20 years. > Blue Origin Blue Origin spends 2-3 billion a year without revenue. But they are pushing forward. They want be in orbit until 2025 and to be fully operational it will take a lot longer.