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There's a lot of different ways this could unfold and I don't know which possible future is going to be the future, but my money's on a "world of spam" scenario
by snickerbockers 4y ago
There's a lot of different ways this could unfold and I don't know which possible future is going to be the future, but my money's on a "world of spam" scenario where AI's biggest contribution is reducing the signal-to-noise ratio on the internet by such a large degree and we end up in a bizarre feedback loop where content is produced by AIs for AIs as a vehicle to show ads to AIs because everybody on the internet is trying to use AIs to make a quick buck. This is arguably a good thing if it drives "human culture" away from places like twitter and reddit and news.ycombinator.com and back into real-life interactions, or at least directed communications such as e-mail with people that are known to actually exist.
Recent advancements in AI have led to things I never thought a computer would ever be able to do and that's very exciting but it's all stuff that would be mundane or even disappointing if a human did it.
>where you can’t get a job tinkering with computers anymore because AI does it better
i really can't imagine GPT getting to a point where it can competently write a complex program using a simple prompt, unless the prompt is so detailed that you'd be better off doing it yourself. That's really what high-level languages are anyways, just a detailed prompt that tells the compiler how the program needs to behave so that it can generate a sequence of instructions using the ISA for the given CPU.
If your job is writing "glue code" such as something that just takes data data from a REST and dumps it on SQL then there's a solid chance that you're about to get automated out of a job. If you're doing something more complicated such as compiler development or kernel/driver development I can't imagine any of these deep-learning models ever replacing you. Imagine the chaos that would unfold if ChatGPT or codex was writing C code unsupervised.