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> Banks engage in maturity transformation, in “borrowing short and lending long.” Deposits are short-term liabilities of the bank; while time-locked deposits ex
by tfehring 4y ago
> Banks engage in maturity transformation, in “borrowing short and lending long.” Deposits are short-term liabilities of the bank; while time-locked deposits exist, broadly users can ask for them back on demand. Most assets of a bank, the loans or securities portfolio, have a much longer duration.
> Society depends on this mismatch existing. It must exist somewhere. The alternative is a much poorer and riskier world, which includes dystopian instruments that are so obviously bad you’d have to invent names for them.
I guess I'll dispute this. It is useful that this mismatch exists, since it (1) lowers the cost of long-term borrowing for mortgagors, businesses, and governments and (2) lowers the (direct and/or opportunity) cost of holding cash. But I don't think society is dependent on this mismatch, and I don't think the alternative would be anywhere near as bleak as Patrick suggests.
If bank regulators changed capital requirements to require banks to fully back deposits with cash equivalents, long-term borrowing would be a lot more expensive, but the market would still clear. There's already plenty of demand for safe long-term debt, and that demand would only increase as long-term interest rates went up. E.g., if checking accounts paid -2% interest and CDs paid 10%, lenders would put less money in checking and more in CDs, even if it meant they would have to sell the CD at a discount if they needed liquidity.
Of course, the US government will take any and every opportunity it can get to indirectly subsidize mortgages, so this is pretty moot in practice.
- Raidion 4y agoIf I have a CD, that CD is often not time locked, it just has a penalty for early withdrawal (X months of interest or whatever). If I don't trust that the bank can give me the money, it doesn't matter if it's in a CD or checking account, I'm going to pull it out (screw the gains) and the liquidity problem still exists. The extra months/year of interest don't stop a bank run. This is why I think this can really only be solved by government and regulation. Government regulation on the quality of investments to make sure that they're really worth X% long term. If there is a bank run, government needs to step in with the government liquidity, and say "customer gets their money, we get your assets". Of course, brokering an auction for these amongst other banks is the preferred approach. There should be a fairly free market around what leverage banks are willing to take on as long as the investments that back it are regulated and solid. If a company wants to expose their shareholders to risk by keeping high levels of leverage, that's their problem, but you can't punish depositors for the mistakes of the bank. Not saying we shouldn't have any regulations in this space, but as long as mistakes impact shareholders and not depositors or taxpayers, I think everyone is happy.