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The easiest way is to convince them is with real money on the line. Like the article, take a deck of cards. Ask them to pick a card for you without looking. Se
by kthejoker2 4y ago
The easiest way is to convince them is with real money on the line.
Like the article, take a deck of cards. Ask them to pick a card for you without looking. Set it aside.
Tell them if they have the queen of diamonds, you buy lunch, otherwise they buy lunch. Ask if they want to swap decks.
After they inevitably say yes, go through the 51 other cards and turn over 20 cards that aren't the queen of diamonds. Ask if they're sure they'd like to switch.
Remove 20 more cards and repeat. Then 9 more (leaving you with 2 cards.) Ask again, turn over one last card, ask one more time. (This last iteration is the actual Monty Hall problem.)
The key thing is they should understand now that Monty Hall knows where the queen of diamonds/ car is and turns over other cards/goats precisely because he knows they don't change the odds of the original choice, but many people incorrectly believe that it does.