While it is possible, given that Google has released ICS, I'd be very surprised if the Kindle Fire didn't get ICS in an update the same way the Nook Color got F

While it is possible, given that Google has released ICS, I'd be very surprised if the Kindle Fire didn't get ICS in an update the same way the Nook Color got Froyo and Gingerbread in updates. Why? 1. Amazon and B&N are in a dogfight over eBooks, eReaders and (now) "reading tablets". It would be stupid for either of them to skip all of the new functionality and internal improvements Google has released. 2. Plenty of apps Amazon wants in their Appstore are also going to support (and want to use features from) ICS. While Amazon could make them jump through unnecessary hoops, that just makes their Appstore (and, by extension, the Kindle Fire) weaker. 3. Amazon itself is going to be developing applications that support ICS (e.g. Kindle, Amazon MP3, Amazon Mobile, Price Check, ...) and those apps will, in some cases, need to use ICS-specific features to be competitive. They could fork their own internal applications, I suppose, but why would they? Would they really want to risk a situation where an ICS version of an app is better than the Kindle Fire's version of the same app?