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in 2017, how confidently would you have predicted that machines would not stand any chance of doing what chatGTP or stable diffusion do now?
by 00F_ 4y ago
in 2017, how confidently would you have predicted that machines would not stand any chance of doing what chatGTP or stable diffusion do now?
- swatcoder 4y agoHuh? I just said people can’t see the future, right? If anything, you’re making the point for me. In 2017, I was working on some stuff and traveling a bit. In 2023, I’m working on some stuff and traveling a bit. In 2028, we’ll see when we get there.
- 00F_ 4y agoyour position is illogical. we cant predict the future, therefore we shouldnt try to preempt anything. oh sorry, "worry" about anything. we should stop worrying about global warming according to you. we cant predict if global warming will happen so lets just see when we get there as you say. even if we cant predict the exact time and place of AGI's creation, or even whether or not it will be created, the plain and obvious fact is that there exists the potential for it to happen. the only logical way to respond to these circumstances would be to attempt ****attempt**** ------------------------> attempt <------------------------ to preempt the creation of AGI. did you notice i said attempt? it doesnt matter if it works, we should ATTEMPT to do it. in 2017 you and many self-proclaimed experts as well as real experts confidently asserted that machines would never, in our lifetime, pass the turing test, generate photo-realistic images based on text prompts, write essays that get As, generally speak lucidly and articulately or whatever else AI is doing now. and now we see people making the same assertion but instead of all that, they are insisting that AGI wont be in our lifetime. its a stupid, silly assertion and without that assertion we are forced to react as i have explained. if we let it just explode in our face the consequences could be devastating. and you will start to react by saying theres no way to stop it and i will comment back saying that we have to try something even if the chance of success is small which it certainly is not at this point. what would you say after that?
- swatcoder 4y agoWhen did we go from “being bitter” to needing to “preempt AGI”? I didn’t even say any the things you’re rambling about. You’re spiraling. If things do need to be done, you’re not putting yourself in a good place to do contribute to that effort.
- 00F_ 4y agostatistically, you did. or if not, you thought it. i spent many years watching this space and i very, very rarely saw someone who was correct about the next several years in 2017. even in 2018, when it was obvious that something might be up, a vanishingly small number of people realized it. so if you were in that 0.01% then thats great dude. im spiraling? what does that even mean? what about answering my question? thats just gone now? people always resort to saying that i have mental health problems even though theres nothing in my internet comment that would indicate that. what do you even mean im not putting myself in a good place to do contribute to that effort? it would benefit the effort if i told everyone that AI is nothing to worry about? yes im bitter. im bitter at having to deal with this stupid issue. i would much rather not have this problem looming overhead. i would even prefer to be blind to it. its very frustrating when people shortcut the whole thing and question my mental health rather than admit they are wrong. i already feel crazy having an opinion that most people disagree with. dont need those comments.