4 ms·

I am interested by your sources, the most generic world population projection I see online for 2040 are some kind of peak between 8-10 billions and then it is s

by seren 4y ago

I am interested by your sources, the most generic world population projection I see online for 2040 are some kind of peak between 8-10 billions and then it is slowly decreasing until 2100. But I am really interested if there are other projections with lower numbers!

b112 4y ago
With a lack of labour, comes a lack of medical care. While there was a problem with health care funding in Canada, current issues are more severe. There are not enough doctors, nurses, and so on. And this problem will get worse and worse, as it will everywhere. For example, even with covid numbers way down, hospitals in many areas of Canada are constantly overrun. Hospitals overrun is made worse, because many people have no family doctor, and must go to a hospital for minor issues. There are not enough beds, with people often stuck in the halls, or being discharged early. And this is just at the start of this employability crisis. Now imagine how life expectancy looks, if you cannot get surgeries which extend that life, or, even have issues getting basic blood work done, and preemptive tests. Most of the population stats you see, are predicated upon life expectancy staying the same, not crashing. Secondly, China has been lying about population numbers for years, and recent numbers show it is far worse that they admit. An ominous note here: this is not a temporary thing. With some reproductive numbers approaching 1 per two people, we are already slated for half a century of this, at least. And if we try to bring those numbers up to "replacement" levels, as some areas have urged/begged their citizens to do? If we try to return them to at least 2.2 per couple? It means a generation or two of people still caring for the excess elderly, and also caring for the excess young. Squeezed on both ends.
- pcthrowaway 4y ago
  > It means a generation or two of people still caring for the excess elderly, and also caring for the excess young. Squeezed on both ends. If you're talking about Gen Y and Z ( though Gen Y [millenials] only has another 10-15 years in a suitable baby-making age range) they'd have to also not be living paycheck to paycheck or with a very minor cushion to even entertain the idea of having kids. I'm in my late 30s and I only have a couple friends who have had a baby in the last 10 years (well one is pregant). The rest are unable to afford more than their own 100-150 square foot room in a shared house due to the housing crisis in my city (Vancouver). I've already resigned that I would never be able to afford kids even if I wanted them

by seren 4y ago

b112 4y ago

With a lack of labour, comes a lack of medical care. While there was a problem with health care funding in Canada, current issues are more severe. There are not enough doctors, nurses, and so on. And this problem will get worse and worse, as it will everywhere. For example, even with covid numbers way down, hospitals in many areas of Canada are constantly overrun. Hospitals overrun is made worse, because many people have no family doctor, and must go to a hospital for minor issues. There are not enough beds, with people often stuck in the halls, or being discharged early. And this is just at the start of this employability crisis. Now imagine how life expectancy looks, if you cannot get surgeries which extend that life, or, even have issues getting basic blood work done, and preemptive tests. Most of the population stats you see, are predicated upon life expectancy staying the same, not crashing. Secondly, China has been lying about population numbers for years, and recent numbers show it is far worse that they admit. An ominous note here: this is not a temporary thing. With some reproductive numbers approaching 1 per two people, we are already slated for half a century of this, at least. And if we try to bring those numbers up to "replacement" levels, as some areas have urged/begged their citizens to do? If we try to return them to at least 2.2 per couple? It means a generation or two of people still caring for the excess elderly, and also caring for the excess young. Squeezed on both ends.

pcthrowaway 4y ago
> It means a generation or two of people still caring for the excess elderly, and also caring for the excess young. Squeezed on both ends. If you're talking about Gen Y and Z ( though Gen Y [millenials] only has another 10-15 years in a suitable baby-making age range) they'd have to also not be living paycheck to paycheck or with a very minor cushion to even entertain the idea of having kids. I'm in my late 30s and I only have a couple friends who have had a baby in the last 10 years (well one is pregant). The rest are unable to afford more than their own 100-150 square foot room in a shared house due to the housing crisis in my city (Vancouver). I've already resigned that I would never be able to afford kids even if I wanted them