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I think the attention is put on some, likely, bonds backfiring. Not going into questioning how a 20y old bank would buy very long bonds as historically lowest r
by hirako2000 4y ago
I think the attention is put on some, likely, bonds backfiring. Not going into questioning how a 20y old bank would buy very long bonds as historically lowest returns. There is even more likely some bad lending in there in the order of billions that either have or are going going to materialise as defaults. And that's plain'n simple having to wipe numbers from the books, and those books aren't going to look good.
Banks take deposits but also loan with a 10x or even more ratio. Not difficult to imagine a SV bank would have lended a lot of cash, with marginal interests that aren't covering the actual risk.
Only speculation on my part there but needs to see further unwinding to bring some clarity or where the hole mostly comes from.
Until then, the narrative sounds far better than pointing out a widespread bad credit issue that other banks are also going to face in the coming months.
Edit: typos