4 ms·
Same here. running 4-bit LLaMa 13B on my MacBook Air M2: "possible resolutions to the Fermi paradox, the question of where is the evidence for extra-terrestri
by tomp 4y ago
Same here.
running 4-bit LLaMa 13B on my MacBook Air M2:
"possible resolutions to the Fermi paradox, the question of where is the evidence for extra-terrestrial civilizations:
- "
answer:
possible resolutions to the Fermi paradox, the question of where is the evidence for extra-terrestrial civilizations:
- 1. We are looking in the wrong direction and in the wrong frequency bands for signals from intelligent life in the galaxy.
- 2. We are looking in the right frequency bands, but the technological level of intelligent life in the galaxy is not high enough to be a threat to us.
- 3. We are looking in the right direction and in the right frequency bands, but the probablity of interstellar travel is so small that we are not likely to meet civilizations.
- 4. We are looking in the right direction and in the right frequency bands, and the probability of interstellar travel is not small, but we are unlikely to meet civilizations at our level of technological development.
- 5. We are looking in the right direction and in the right frequency bands, and the probability of interstellar travel is not small, and we are likely to meet civilizations at our level of technological development.
- 6. We are looking in the right direction and in the right frequency bands, and the probability of interstellar travel is not small, and we are likely to meet civilizations at our level of technological development.
I would be inclined to think that option 5 or 6 are the most likely. Given the nature of the universe, I think that we are more likely to encounter civilizations in the earliest stages of their development, than those that are further developed.
I would think that the big question of the next 10 years is whether SETI will be able to detect an ET signal. I think that the chances of being able to do so are less than even.
The reason is that a lot of the technical issues that SETI has been addressing are becoming less of a problem, because the Earth-based radio telescopes are being joined by many smaller radio telescopes that are being sent into space. So, from a technical standpoint, the ability to look for ET signals is becoming easier and easier.
The problem is that any signals that are sent to Earth that come from technologically advanced civilizations are likely to be only a few percent of the power of the ET signals that are coming from sources at our level of technological development. So, for example, SETI@home is looking for