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An observation of mine with regards to ardent Chomsky critics is that it's usually the case that the critic has a lot to gain from their attack or position whil
by bmitc 4y ago
An observation of mine with regards to ardent Chomsky critics is that it's usually the case that the critic has a lot to gain from their attack or position while Chomsky has little to nothing to gain.
I think the whole stable diffusion and ChatGPT thing will come and go, almost as self-driving cars have. If you remember, just eight or so years ago, everybody was absolutely convinced that they were right around the corner. There was an insane amount of hype. Now, that hype has largely come and gone, with several companies abandoning their self-driving approaches or just flat out failing at them. There is still some hype, but I feel it has faded as people have come to grips with the premise, much less the difficulty of the implementations. The focus seems to be shifting back to driver assistance features.
Another thing is VR. So these stable diffusion and GPT methods are having their time in the sun. Yet again, just like VR and self-driving, proponents are trying to will these things into existence. Yes, they are impressive in some very specific cases, but they are not general. Just like stable diffusion, these GPT things will just flood the Internet with junk, either filling people with incorrect knowledge or driving people away, leaving the only remaining application to be advertising and trying to sell stuff.
Humans are seemingly absolutely obsessed with technology trying to replace humans and reality. That is the common thread between all of VR, self-driving, stable diffusion, and now ChatGPT. But this is both hard and destined for failure. People keep discovering that the role of technology is to augment humans and not to replace them. Engelbart knew this 60 years ago.
- mishkovski 4y agoThat is why Apple’s next big product will probably be an application of AR.
- goatlover 4y agoDon't forget the 3D/additive printing revolution that was going to put a printer in everyone's home so they wouldn't need to buy stuff from Walmart anymore. Everyone knows the hype cycle is real, and yet everybody still gets caught up during the early hype.
- code_duck 4y agoTo me it feels like the late 70s/early 80s and home computing software. These technologies do exist, as far as self driving cars, chatbots that answer all of your questions insightfully and correctly, and 3D printers that can manufacture household goods in demand. There are working examples in use. They’re not quite ready for the mass market, but they will be someday. I’d give it 15-20 years.
- GaggiX 4y ago>I think the whole stable diffusion and ChatGPT thing will come and go, almost as self-driving cars have. But Stable Diffusion and ChatGPT are here, and the last one has more than 100 million users. Unlike self-driving cars, the excitement behind this technology was not created by the promise of building "Stable Diffusion" or "ChatGPT", the excitement was created by the people who tried these models for free and saw their expectations subverted. I think the difference is abysmal.
- hackandthink 4y agoLLM and related technology will change our society. They work with brute force, but they work. Chomsky and his critics agree here. Chomsky doesn't like it, his critics are more open. Our brain processes information much more efficiently so we humans still have an advantage for certain tasks.
- AlecSchueler 4y agoThing is that I already see people outside of tech circles using ChatGPT at work and at school. Self driving cars excited people but they're still not on the market so of course it's easy to forget. But why would people forget this and go back to doing laborious writing work themselves?
- em-bee 4y agoHumans are seemingly absolutely obsessed with technology trying to replace humans and reality i think the idea is that by trying to replace humans we learn more about what it means to be human.