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That's not so simple. I agree USDC is still in a solid position, markets are overreacting, and this is very different than e.g. Terra collapse. But you're assum
by guiambros 4y ago
That's not so simple. I agree USDC is still in a solid position, markets are overreacting, and this is very different than e.g. Terra collapse. But you're assuming any eventual losses (e.g. the 7.6%) would be equally distributed across all users. That is not the case.
If there's a run on the bank, the first users will get 100% of their funds at 1:1 peg (see Circle's announcement earlier today [1]), until they run out of liquidity. Then the remaining users are left holding the bag, and get a fraction of whatever is left after months of litigation.
The fear of being the last one holding the bag is what triggers bank runs, despite a bank run being the worst possible outcome for everyone. It's a classic prisoner's dilemma.
ps: not financial advice, etc, etc.
[1] https://www.circle.com/blog/an-update-on-usdc-and-silicon-valley-bank https://www.circle.com/blog/an-update-on-usdc-and-silicon-va...
- louison11 4y agoYou’re right. I overlooked this and was under the impression Circle would just pause exchanges. Their announcement to resume monday at 1:1 changes the game. Wish they'd just wait it out to give everybody a fair shot. Hopefully even in the case of bank run they'd stop the show when they run out of liquidity and preserve the cash in treasury bills at least till maturation. Anyway, for people wanting to get out they can always use Uniswap against GUSD or DAI!
- hd95489 4y agoAt 1:1 take the money and run. Seems like that’s a recipe for a real run